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While MAGA thinks Trump is playing 4D chess, whatever that is, he's really just bumbling in the dark gambling with the lives of countless people hoping to make himself look great.
1. Right now Trump thinks there is an opportunity to do something great. If he destroys Iran’s nuclear capability, topples the current regime and installs a democratic government, all without the civil war that characterized all other US-led regime changes in the Middle East, then he eliminates the primary weapons supplier of jihadists, the world breathes a giant sigh of relief, peace reigns. And he, President Trump, assumes a place as the greatest statesman of our era. But, he must act. He must seize the moment. It must be him, not Netanyahu, that delivers the blow that saves the world.
2. He destroys Iran’s nuclear capability, but the regime doesn’t capitulate. Israel bombs Tehran and it is obliterated like Gaza and Beirut. Hundreds of thousands of civilians die. Still, the ruling Ayatollah stays in power. It will take an invasion. Israel? The U.S.? Both are bad answers. The Republican Party takes a beating. They lose the mid-terms and both houses go Democrat. Trump is impeached.
2B. He destroys Iran’s nuclear capability, the Iranian regime capitulates or is overturned, but chaos ensues. Maybe another jihadist takes control—after all, it is clear who has killed thousands of Iranians—and Iran is right back where it was, minus a nuclear program. And America is the focal point for jihadist revenge. Or maybe a West-friendly dictator takes over, but civil war rages, and the jihadist movement is revitalized. The Republicans lose the mid-terms, Trump is impeached.
It’s a tough decision. Keep true to MAGA’s no-foreign war policy, protect the Party, play it safe; or, seize this rare, almost gift-wrapped opportunity to seize the brass ring and be GREAT.
My opinion: we will not put American soldiers on the ground, and we will not engage American fighters, but we will bomb Iran’s underground nuclear plant. If the Ayatollah doesn’t capitulate, Israel will bomb Tehran and destroy it. If the Ayatollah falls and a democratic government takes over, President Trump will claim that destroying the nuclear plant was the main thing, that he, Trump, caused the regime change because without him Israel could do nothing, and that he is the greatest President and statesman of all time.
If all the bad things occur instead, we still took out the nuclear program and that alone, given the potential nuclear holocaust, was worth all the bad things that happened, which still makes him appear to be the greatest of all time, in his mind anyway. The Republicans still lose the mid-terms, Trump is impeached, but he isn’t thinking that far ahead. He’s thinking about greatness.
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